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Nuclear War with Iran
Iran, population 68 million,
is the 4th largest oil exporter in the world.
Israel population 6.3 million,
already has nuclear weapons (perhaps 200).
Preemptive attacks have a long history dating from 1625
On June 7,1981 Israel attacked and destroyed Iraq's
Osirak nuclear reactor in Baghdad .Of course this was done to prevent Iraq from
acquiring nuclear waepons. The story of this raid was detailed in a
book called "Two Minutes Over Baghdad" by Amos Perlmutter,
Michael Handel and Uri Bar-Joseph which was published in 1982. .
By the way, this attack did not have
the desired effect on Iraq, instead it stimulated Saddam Hussein to
vastly increase his efforts to acquire nuclear waepons.
Iran wants to destroy Israel
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said Thursday (08/03/2006)
[that] the solution to the Middle East crisis is to destroy Israel.
In a speech during an emergency meeting of Muslim leaders,
Ahmadinejad also called for an immediate halt to fighting in Lebanon
between Israel and the Iranian-backed militant group Hezbollah.
Ahmadinejad, who has drawn international condemnation with
previous calls for Israel to be wiped off the map, said the Middle
East would be better off "without the existence of the Zionist
regime." Israel "is an illegitimate regime, there is no
legal basis for its existence," he said.
Iran is supplying Hezbollah with
$100 million per year & C-802 missiles
In the closed world of spy satellite photo analysis, it's
called "crate-ology": the science of identifying a weapon
or some other key component by the size and shape of its box.
The technique came into play last month when a U.S. spy satellite,
looking down on an Iranian air base, captured images of military crews
loading what U.S. intelligence analysts concluded were eight C-802
Noor anti-ship cruise missiles on board a transport plane, according
to intelligence officials.
On July 14, Hezbollah fired at least three C-802 missiles, one of
which damaged an Israeli warship off Lebanon and killed four
sailors, Israeli's military said.
At a Senate hearing July 27, Bolton said Iran provides Hezbollah
an estimated $100 million per year in weapons and aid. "They're
the paymasters, and they're calling the tune," he said.
Above from: USATODAY.com
- Trained eye can see right through box of weapons
Sadly the C-802 missiles originally came from
China
Iran bought 60 of the missiles, sometimes mislabeled
"Silkworms," between the end of the Persian Gulf War in
1991 and 1997, when protests by the Clinton administration led China
to suspend sales. Since then, under license from China, Iran has
been manufacturing the C-802 missiles on its own, Hewson said.
Above from: USATODAY.com - Trained eye can see right through box of weapons
How could Iran acquire nuclear weapons?
1.
They could buy nuclear weapons from North Korea, Pakistan or Russia.
The current government of Pakistan is friendly to the US and thus it seems unlikely that
they would sell nuclear weapons to Iran, but much of the population is muslim and
hates Israel
and the US. So if President Pervez Musharraf loses power in 2007, we may see an anti-US government
which might be willing to sell weapons to Iran. Russia would not intentionally sell nuclear weapons
to Iran because they recognize that Iran is a very unstable country. However, there are plenty of
loose nuclear weapons in Russia and probably many gangsters who would be quite willing to sell them
to Iran. The greatest worry is that North Korea will sell nuclear weapons to Iran. Kim Jung Ill is
desperate for money and he doesn't care about anyone but himself.
2.
They could build their own nuclear weapons.
Nuclear weapons technology is not nearly as complicated or secret as the government would
like people to believe. President Musharraf of Pakistan pardoned Abdul Qadeer Khan, the "father of the
Islamic bomb" for selling nuclear technology to Iran, Libya and North Korea in one of the greatest
proliferation scandals in history. According to the IAEA, he sold gas centrifuges, used in enriching
uranium, as well as nuclear blueprints and designs. He employed an empire of middlemen, who operated in Germany,
the Netherlands, Malaysia and the United Arab Emirates. Malaysia said yesterday that it would investigate
a company controlled by the Prime Minister's son for its alleged role in supplying components to Libya's
nuclear programme. Hundreds of millions of dollars changed
hands. Khan is a very rich man but does he feel any guilt
over his treachery?
Above
from: Pakistani
Nuclear Secrets for Sale
Iran is building a complete Uranium
enrichment and reprocessing industry.
Bushehr Reactors
In January 1995, Russia and Iran signed a contract under which
Russia would provide one VVER-1000 [aka WWER-1000] 950-1,073 MWe
(electrical) light water reactor at Bushehr. The VVER-1000 reactor
would be similar in configuration to Unit Four of the Russian
Balakovskaya plant at Balakovo, Saratov. The Russian reactors will be
installed in the original structures designed for the German
1,200-1,300 MWe reactors. Since the horizontal VVER-1000 steam
generators are larger than the original German design, the project
will require an enlargement of the existing reactor building, though
the finished reactor dome will still resemble the German design
Above from:
.Bushehr - Iran Nuclear Reactor
Natanz - uranium enrichment
plant (gas centrifuges)
Satellite imagery made available in December 2002 indicated
that Natanz may be used as a gas centrifuge facility for uranium
enrichment.
Iran subsequently invited IAEA inspectors to visit the facility under
construction at Natanz in early 2003. During a February 2003 visit,
Iran advised IAEA chief Mohamed El-Baradei of the near-completion of a
uranium pilot fuel enrichment plant (PFEP) and continuing construction
of a large fuel enrichment plant (FEP). Upon completion, the pilot
plant will house approximately 1,000 P-1 gas centrifuges
Above from: A
Preemptive Attack on Iran's Nuclear Facilities
Natanz
satellite image
A single centrifuge might produce about 30 grams of HEU per year,
about the equivalent of five Separative Work Unit (SWU). As as a
general rule of thumb, a cascade of 850 to 1,000 centrifuges, each
1.5 meters long, operating continuously at 400 m/sec, would be able
to produce about 20-25 kilograms of HEU in a year, enough for one
weapon. One such bomb would require about 6,000 SWU.
Above from: Gas Centrifuge Uranium Enrichment
Arak - heavy water plants
Arak is the site of two planned heavy water facilities.
The first is a heavy water production facility, the existence of
which was disclosed by an Iranian opposition group in August 2002.
When IAEA inspectors visited the site in February 2003, Iran claimed
that it planned to produce heavy water for export to other
countries. Three months later, Iran clarified that it intends to use
the heavy water to moderate a prospective heavy water research
reactor in Arak. The second facility is a 40 MW heavy water reactor,
which Iran announced its plans to start building in 2004. This plant
may present a serious nonproliferation challenge when completed. The
Arak heavy water reactor will use uranium dioxide and enable Iran to
produce plutonium suitable for nuclear weapons assembly. Some
estimate that this plant will be able to produce 8 to10 kilograms of
weapons-grade plutonium every year, a sufficient amount to build one
to two nuclear weapons annually. The Iranians claim the plant is for
peaceful purposes only and is intended for medical research and
development.
Above from: A
Preemptive Attack on Iran's Nuclear Facilities
Arak
satellite image
Many other Iranian nuclear facilities -
detailed
here
Summary:
With the very existence of Israel on the line, the Israelis cannot permit Iran
to obtain nuclear weapons. Hence there WILL BE a war
between Iran and Israel. Only two questions
remain:
1. When will the war begin?
2. Will the United States become entangled in it?
Here is a bumper sticker
(3" x 10") to emphasize the seriousness of the problem.
| One bumper sticker |
$3 |
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| 4 bumper stickers |
$10 |
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| 10 bumper stickers |
$20 |
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Comments? Email me at crwillis@androidworld.com
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